Silver Continues To Test An Important Level

(April 1, 2019 - Christopher Lewis)

Silver markets went back and forth during the trading session on Monday, as we continue to test the $15 level for major support. At this point, the market should show plenty of importance to the $15 level as it is a large, round, psychologically important figure. However, given enough time it’s likely that we will find that area important enough to bring in a lot of value hunting. If it does not, that would be a very negative sign indeed. That could have market participants heading for the exits, sending silver down to the $14.50 level. That could be a rather violent action.

However, it’s very likely that we will see an attempt to reach towards the $15.25 level, and then possibly the $15.50 level after that. The 50-Day EMA is sitting around the $15.50 level, so I think it will be a bit of a natural magnet for price. Looking at this chart, I suspect we are going to have a couple of rough days ahead of us but given enough time I fully do anticipate that we will eventually bounce a bit. All things being equal, silver will move right along with the value of the US dollar, with its typical negative correlation. If the US dollar strengthens, that puts heavy weight around the neck of the silver market, but if it falls over, and it is in that area that should start to see significant resistance, we could see silver strengthen again. All things being equal I am anticipating more of a range bound market with an upward proclivity.

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