Both Gold & Silver Building a base for next Breakout Rally
Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
This Week's Headlines: |
Last week Gold showed excellent fresh demand and price support. Gold reached a high over $1,790 per ounce four of the five trading days before seeing some price consolidation. Gold is building a firm base to break the key $1,800 per ounce resistance level very soon. We could see one more very brief test of the $1,750 per ounce support level, but Gold’s price direction is definitely higher. Why? All the short-term and long-term fundamentals are lining up.
Interest rates and the U.S. Dollar Index have sold off in April, while inflationary indicators have become stronger and stronger. At the same time, Gold demand from professional investors and central banks is breaking record levels, with the trillions of Dollars, Yuan, Euro and Yen being printed. I still believe that breaking above $1,800 per ounce is only the first stop on reaching $2,000 by August and $2,200 by year-end.
Premiums on the popular 1 ounce Gold and Silver bullion coins have had another round of increases, as shortages and back-orders from world mints continue to grow. With premiums on 1oz Gold Eagles and Buffalos around 10%, the best Gold value is the pre-1933 European Gold. The brilliant uncirculated Swiss 20fr Helvetias, French 20fr Roosters & Angels, or British Sovereigns, which are 1/5 to 1/4 ounce are still at the same attractive price level as six months ago. Similar sized Gold Eagles and Maple Leafs are over 20% and impossible to find.
Today: While the U.S. Dollar and interest rates remain near their recent lows, Gold is trading in a narrow range between $1,770 and $1,780 per ounce this morning. I would expect to see Gold move higher since demand is continuing to pick up.
Silver traded above and below the key $26 support/resistance level all last week, reaching a high of $26.73 on Wednesday. Silver closed on Friday at $26.07 per ounce, up $0.09 for the week. Like Gold, I believe Silver is consolidating recent gains while building a strong base for its move toward $30 per ounce by August. Many of the world’s most respected mints are having a difficult time sourcing Silver to mint their popular products. Therefore, they have limited mintages and back-ordered shipments to their distributors.
Today: Silver is showing better price support than Gold, with it moving firmly above the key $26 level this morning. Silver reached a high of $26.30 per ounce in early European trading before seeing some light selling as the markets rolled into the U.S.
This is an exciting time for U.S. Gold and Silver rare coins collectors and investors. Demand continued to grow during the past year, with many auction companies continuing to show active bidding and higher prices. The series that have shown the strongest demand are PCGS/NGC graded $20 Gold U.S. Saints/Libs, Gold type, and Morgan and Peace Silver Dollars. Also, in the modern issues the U.S. Gold, Silver and Platinum Eagles from 1986 to 2015 have shown increasing demand and price appreciation.