Gold And Silver Struggle To Stay Above Key Support Levels
Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
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Back at the beginning of March, the interest rate on the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Bill was 1.75%. On Friday, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury bill interest rate traded at 2.50%, up an incredible 0.75% in just 3 weeks, and trading at a 3-Year high. If someone would have told me the interest rate on 10-YR Treasuries would be up 0.75% in three weeks, I would have thought the Gold price would be under $1,800 per ounce. But, Gold is up over $50 since the start of March. Gold’s reaction to higher rates only reinforces the fact that runaway inflation, currency depreciation, a roaring commodity market, and worldwide demand for a safe haven during times of uncertainty outweighs higher interest rates.
Gold closed last Friday at $1,954 per ounce, up $25 for the week and up $54 for the month. During the month of March, Gold reached an all-time high of $2,075, which I believe will be surpassed soon. The next rally above the key $2,000 per ounce resistance level should be the third and last breakout, as it makes its way to $2,300 by year-end.
As the war between Russia and Ukraine continues and governmental and public companies sanction and withdraw from Russia, prices for many commodities are moving higher. The outlook for inflation in the near term and long-range is much higher, and all precious metals are seeing a major resurgence in demand.
Today: Gold broke down below the key $1,950 level in early Asian trading, reaching a low of $1,925 per ounce before seeing bargain buying. A rally in the U.S. Dollar Index (reaching 99.37) and a drop in crude oil prices helped lead Gold prices lower.
Silver closed last Friday at $25.54 per ounce, up $0.48 for the week, and up $1.18 for the month of March. The $25 per ounce level has shown to be a very important barrier for Silver to breach. Since the beginning of the year, Silver has moved above and below the $25 level, as it tries to build a firm base to the $30 level by year-end. The Silver to Gold ratio has moved down to 75.70-to-1, showing the strong demand for Silver.
Today: Silver briefly broke below the key $25 per ounce level, reaching $24.83 before quickly rallying back. A $7 drop in the price of crude oil is considered to be anti-inflationary and the Silver market is reacting to the decline in Gold and crude oil.