Gold & Silver Continue Price Consolidation In Trading Range
Weekly Precious Metal and Rare Coin Stuppler & Company is proud to email our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
The latest reports say nearly 14,000 (mostly Chinese) are afflicted with the coronavirus and over 300 have died. The world financial markets and precious metals are reacting to concerns that this virus could affect global businesses. Last week, the U.S. Dow/Jones dropped over 700 points, the 10-year treasury yield dropped to 1.51%, while the value of the U.S. Dollar also dropped. Gold has increased $23 since the coronavirus was declared an international problem. Why? Because concerns of a global slowdown will dramatically effect world economic growth. The CBO stating the U.S. budget deficit will reach $1 trillion this year was also a contributing factor to Gold’s rally. Gold closed the week at $1,583 per ounce, an $11 increase for the week.
What keeps me up at night?
A possible decision by our government to increase reportability on purchases and sales of precious metals. This is happening in Europe right now. Read the above article about Germany’s war with Gold. I believe by next year Gold will hit a new all-time high, above $1,920 per ounce. When or before that happens, I believe there will be a legislator, or an employee of the IRS who will request or propose legislation that will result in new government regulations on precious metal owners. (i.e., limits on amounts that can be purchased without confirmed I.D. (see German article) or requiring a form 1099 when owners sell any bullion items).
However, when it comes to the topic of Gold confiscation: at this point in time I’m not as concerned about it because too many states have proposed or passed legislation to make Gold legal tender.
Today:
Gold reached a low of $1,568 per ounce in early Asian trading before finding bargain buying.
Gold re-tested recent lows on this morning's announcement that the ISM manufacturing data showed a strong increase. Gold has rallied back above the $1,575 level.
In the January 7th, 2019 Weekly Market Report, when Gold was trading at $1,285 per ounce, I made the following prediction: “I believe we will see the price of Gold reach $1,480 by year-end, a 16% increase for 2019.” Gold closed the year at $1,519.50, an 18.87% increase, reaching a high during the year of $1,555 per ounce.
Today, based on the following four primary facts:
1) Sizeable increase in physical Gold demand from Central Banks and major investors
2) Low interest rates in the U.S. and around the world
3) Extraordinary government deficits and growing debt
4) The U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest quantitative easing monetary policy
I believe we will see the price of Gold reach $1,750 per ounce by year-end, a 15.2% increase for 2020.
Last week, Silver trading had substantial difficulty and far more volatility than Gold, to end the week down $0.08, at $17.97 per ounce. During last week’s trading, Silver broke below the key $17.50 per ounce support level a couple of times, reaching a low of $17.24 last Wednesday.
Silver finally broke through the important $18 per ounce resistance level the next day, as Gold rallied $13 per ounce, but couldn’t hold that level on Friday. The Silver-to-Gold ratio has increased again, reaching 88.09-to-1 ounce of Gold.
Today: This morning the Silver price is moving hand-in-hand with the Gold price decline. Silver reached a low of $17.54 before finding buyers. Silver continues to trade in the $17.50 to $18.00 per ounce area, building a strong base for the next leg higher.
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