Gold & Silver Defy Strength of the U.S. Dollar
Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR, I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
This Week's Headlines: |
On Wednesday, an announcement from Federal Reserve chairman Powell saying interest rates may not be slowing down as originally thought, caused the financial markets to react. Interest rates (highest in 16-years) and the U.S. Dollar Index moved higher, and precious metals moved lower. Gold closed last Friday at $1,924.50 per ounce, up $0.80 on average volume.
What is truly amazing is since August 1st, in the face of a U.S. Dollar Index and interest rates moving higher, Gold has tested the key $1,900 level seven times and rallied back each time.
At that level, demand from Central Banks (led by China) and professional investors load up with Gold bullion bars and coins. U.S. investor demand has lessened recently, causing premiums on many of the popular bullion coins to drop this month.
With 3 months remaining in 2023, I continue to believe that the Gold price will surpass $2,000 by year end. This belief is based on the demand I’m seeing from overseas markets.
The world’s largest central banks are required to hold their domestic currency, Gold and the world’s reference currency (U.S. Dollar). This year was a record year for central bank buying of Gold and if you look at their quarterly reports, they are using mostly U.S. Dollars and keeping their holdings at the minimum.
Today: Both interest rates and the U.S. Dollar Index hit new highs this morning. The 10-Year Treasury yields are trading above 4.50% (16-year High) and the U.S. Dollar Index moved above 106. Both of these and concerns about a U.S. government shutdown this week are putting pressure on Gold and Silver today.
Silver demand and price performance last week was much better than Gold. Silver closed the week at $23.54, up $0.46 per ounce on excellent trading volume. Silver reached a high of $23.75 last week, before seeing some light profit-taking. Silver is seeing increasing demand from Asian markets which get very active when Silver moves closer to the $23 per ounce support level.
Silver ended last Friday’s trading above the key $23 level, closing at $23.08 per ounce. Friday’s rally was very impressive considering the fact that interest rates and the U.S. Dollar index are at record highs. The U.S. Dollar Index continues to trade at 105, while the interest rate on the
10-Year Treasury bills is over 4.32%, a 16-year high.
The Silver-to-Gold ratio has dropped to 81.75-to-1, still an excellent investment time.
Today: Silver led precious metals lower this morning on the interest rate and U.S. Dollar news.
Silver tested its $23 support level in Asian trading and held, rallying $0.20 on bargain buying.
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