The Gold & Silver Rally Awaiting Direction From the Federal Reserve
Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR, I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
This Week's Headlines: |
All eyes are on Wednesday, when Fed Chairman Powell will make his initial statement followed by his question and answer session. The market experts expect to see a ½ point increase in the Fed Funds interest rates, but anything is possible. Regardless of what information is provided by the Federal Reverse on Wednesday, it will definitely affect the price of Gold for the balance of the year and into January.
Last week, Gold closed at $1,798 per ounce, virtually unchanged for the week. However, during last week, Gold reached a low of $1,765 and a high of $1,803, as it continues to build a firm base for the next rally. During last week, the Gold price did not take any direction from the U.S. Dollar Index or 10-Year Treasury interest rates because they traded in a very narrow price range.
Looking at the fundamentals for the Gold price, they continue to be highly bullish. Demand for the physical metal continues to soar, see article above (Central Banks Maintain Their Appetite For Gold). As you can see, many of the world’s largest Central Banks are adding sizeable amounts of Gold to their reserves. And without any availability of Russian Gold, many of the world’s mints and precious metal fabricators are having difficulty sourcing .999 Gold supplies.
Today: Gold is trading today in a thin $10 High/Low range between $1,782 and $1,792 while it awaits direction tomorrow and Wednesday. The November consumer price index will be released on Tuesday, and Fed policymakers meet Tuesday and Wednesday, with the rate decision due on Wednesday.
The Silver rally continues higher, up another 2% last week, closing at $23.66 per ounce, up $0.46 for the week. Physical demand for Silver is off the charts. Just look at the imports for India. Last year, India imported about 4,500 tons of Silver compared to over 8,000 tons by the end of November 2022. By year end, India’s Silver imports could be up 100% to record levels. See article above (Western Vaults Drained Of Silver To Meet Soaring Indian Demand).
The sharp rally in the Silver price, compared to Gold, has driven down the Silver-to-Gold ratio. On October 14th, the Silver-to-Gold ratio was 91.25-to-1. Now it has dropped to 76.35-to-1. That is an extraordinary increase and the lowest ratio of the year. If Silver can build a firm base between $23-$24, it will give it the fuel needed to break above the key $25 per ounce resistance level by early next year.
Today: As Gold sold off in early trading today, Silver tested its $23 per ounce support level, reaching a low of $23.09. After Silver’s recent sharp increase, it's important to stay above the key support levels, building a firm base.