GOLD & SILVER BACK ON BULLISH TRACK
| Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR, I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
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This Week's Headlines: |
Growing concerns from analysts about a deepening U.S. economic slowdown are weighing on all the financial markets, with traders worried that the Federal Reserve may be behind the curve on interest-rate cuts. These concerns, combined with growing fears of a worsening war in the Middle East, are providing increasing demand for Gold.
Last Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that the initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 17,000 claims to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 in July. This number was lower than expected, as consensus estimates forecasted a reading of 240,000 claims. The previous week’s figure was revised up by 1,000 claims to 250,000.
Jackson Hole, WY, will host the 47th annual symposium (August 22-24) for financial analysts, professionals, and Federal Reserve members. It comes just weeks before the first expected cut by the Fed (September 18). The language will be key as will data leading up to the event. The 31 July FOMC meeting appeared to embolden that a cutting cycle will start in September. Confidence can also be derived from the fact that the Fed very rarely likes to surprise, outside of an “exogenous shock.”
After Gold moved back above the key $2,400 per ounce level on Wednesday, the Gold price has shown excellent demand and price consolidation. Gold appears to have built an excellent base above $2,400 per ounce, barring any major bearish economic news. Gold ended last week at $2,432, up $3 for the week.
Today: This week is very important for our economy. On Wednesday and Thursday, we have the July CPI, Retail Sales, and Jobless claims all being released. These are all key economic indicators that the Federal Reserve values and they will determine any upcoming reduction in the Fed Fund rate in September.
Gold started today on a bullish tone in Asia in anticipation of an Iranian attack on Israel. As the markets moved into the Middle East and Europe, Gold reached a high of $2,450. Then as the commodity markets moved into the U.S. Gold reached a high of $2,467 per ounce.
Silver showed far more price volatility last week than Gold, closing at $27.46 per ounce, down $0.80 for the week. Concerns about a deepening US economic slowdown have affected demand for many of the popular Silver investment coins. Premiums on many of these coins have dropped to very attractive levels. The Silver-to-Gold ratio continues to be weak, reaching
88.56-to-1.
Today: Silver followed Gold higher, reaching a high of $28.07 in European markets. Silver saw some light selling in U.S. markets and found excellent support around $27.80 per ounce. If Gold can stay above $2,450 today, I would expect to see Silver back over $28 per ounce.
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