GOLD & SILVER DROP ON HIGHER INTEREST RATE SCARE
| Stuppler & Company is proud to email our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR) for the 30th year. This report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each Weekly Market report, I share my opinion of the current status of Gold and Silver along with the news that effects the price change. |
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This Week's Headlines: |
Gold was trading above $4,600 per ounce for most of last week until Friday. On Friday, the Gold price sold off during U.S. trading after the Federal Reserve chairman Warsh said that inflation was a bigger concern than a slowing labor market. With inflation over the Fed’s 2% target, the markets are concerned that at the September meeting, the Fed will raise interest rates. The stock markets initially sold off on this news, but rallied back by the close. The U.S. Dollar moved higher on the possibility of higher interest rates. In September, we will have one more jobs and CPI inflation report before the Fed meets on September 16, which will affect any Fed decision.
Gold was trading above $4,600 on Friday as trading rolled from London into the U.S. market. After Warsh spoke, Gold started moving south, dropping below both the $4,600 level and the key $4,500 support level. Gold bottomed out at $4,444 per ounce with sizeable bargain buying with record trading volume, and closed Friday at $4,456 per ounce, down $176 for the week.
I believe this sell-off was overdone and the Chinese and Indian markets will move higher by this weekend. After a brief adjustment, the Gold price will move back above $4,500 in September.
Key Economic data to watch this week:
- August 31st, Monday:
- September 1st, Tuesday: August Manufacturing PMI
- September 2nd, Wednesday: July Factory Orders
- September 3rd, Thursday: July Trade Balance, Weekly Jobless Claims
- September 4th, Friday: August Unemployment Rate
Today: Gold reached a low of $4,395 in India before seeing sizeable demand, driving the price up to $4,470 per ounce when trading in London. After trading opened in the U.S., Gold moved lower and briefly broke below the key $4,400 level. However, a sizeable demand quickly pushed the price back up, past $4,430 per ounce.
Silver reached a 3-month high in early Friday trading of $71.23 before falling with Gold on Chairman Warsh’s statement. Silver dropped all the way to $66 per ounce on record trading volume and closed at $66.40 per ounce, down $2.71 for the week.
Like Gold, I think the current Silver demand in China, India, and London will drive the price higher by the end of this week.
Today: Silver also bottomed out during Indian trading, reaching a low of $65.51 per ounce. Demand picked up in late trading and the price moved past $67 per ounce in London. After U.S. trading, Silver reached the daily low of $65.51 before strong demand took the price to $66.50 per ounce.
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Barry Stuppler has been a professional numismatist for over 60 years and is considered one the nation’s foremost experts in rare coins and precious metals. Mr. Stuppler is a past President of the American Numismatic Association (ANA) and Professional Numismatists Guild (PNG). He is currently chairman of the Federal and California State Gold & Silver Political Action Committees, and president of the
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