Gold & Silver Still On The Defensive Setting New Lows
Stuppler & Company is proud to provide our clients this Weekly Market Report (WMR). The report gives you my overview of the prior week’s precious metal and rare coin market activity and news. In each WMR I share the current status of Gold and Silver along with their support and resistance levels. |
This Week's Headlines: |
Over the past 3 months, the price of Gold has gone from $1,974 to $1,704 per ounce, a 13.6% decline. During that same period, many other financial investments and commodities have fallen substantially more. The Nasdaq dropped 21%, Bitcoin 53%, Copper 32%, and Silver is down 27%. With most markets in a downward trend as the U.S. Currency strengthens, it’s not surprising that gold is finding it hard to move higher.
Over the past few months, I have been asked by a number of clients why the U.S Dollar has been so strong. Last week, I received a 3 a.m. phone call from an old-time client who currently lives in Paris. He asked me to find a $4 Stella Gold coin in Proof-65 or higher for him. I put it on my master wantlist in the morning. During that call, I asked why he hasn’t purchased any Gold bullion coins during the past few months. He replied “It’s too expensive”, since I haven’t heard that from any of my U.S. clients, I needed to think about it. He continued to say the Euro has lost over 15% of its value versus the Dollar this year. So if you are buying Gold with Euros, Gold is expensive, but why? Many European countries have an inflation rate above 10% and shortages of energy and food products are nearing rationing. So, many financial markets believe that the U.S. economy will recover from the coming recession quicker than Europe, therefore a stronger currency.
With inflation at a 20 to 30 year high around the globe, it’s difficult for me to wrap my head around the fact that Gold closed at $1,707 per ounce last Friday. I have been active in the Gold market since the 1960s. I have seen how Gold reacted to the high inflation of the late 1970s, reaching a new high of $850 in January 1980. I watched Gold reach an all-time high of $2,071 in August of 2020 when the pandemic was leading to massive government spending. I truly believe the decline we have seen over the past 3 months is just temporary and Gold will be much higher by year-end.
Today: Traders are still focused on what the Federal Reserve will do next week, in regard to rising the Fed Funds interest rate. Many financial analysts predicted a 1% increase, but now traders think that increase will be lower. Gold traded higher in overseas trading, reaching a high of $1,725 before seeing serious selling.
Last Friday, Silver reached $18.09 per ounce, a 2-year low, during active early European trading. Silver closed Friday at $18.60 in the U.S. market as bargain buyers stepped up. During the last three months, the price of Silver has dropped 27%, from $24.80 to $18.09 per ounce. I remember that Silver reached a recent high of $30.35 on Feb. 1st 2021. The current Silver-To-Gold ratio is at 91.6-to-1. Anything over 60-to-1, the price of Silver is undervalued.
Today: The Silver price was more bullish than Gold this morning, reaching a high of $19.10 on excellent volume in European afternoon trading. Physical demand is strong, but supplies are limited of many of the popular investment quality coins.