Gold Testing The $1,400 Per Ounce Support Level, Silver Sells Off
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Gold reached a new six year high of $1,439 per ounce last Tuesday after breaking above the key $1,400 resistance level on June 21st. What is important about this move is that it happened with the highest trading volume (63,513,300 ounce) I have seen in over 3 years. Having trading volume that high confirms that central banks, mutual and hedge fund manager are aggressively buying Gold.
Gold closed Friday up $13 for the week, and $103 for the month. After last month’s $103 increase, the Gold price needed to build a new base. Consolidating Gold’s recent gains is very important to sustain the long-term rally. Gold needed to test its support at the $1,400 level and it did twice, last Wednesday and Thursday, and both times it quickly moved back above $1,400. I expect to see one more test of that key support level this week, and if it holds, we should be off to $1,450 per ounce.
Last weekend, we had the G-20 meeting, with Trump agreeing with Chinese president Xi to put a pause in tariff escalations. He also spoke with Russian president Putin and visited North Korea to meet with Kim Jong Un. What does this mean to the financial and precious metal markets? We will find out today.
Today: Trumps agreement with the Chinese over the weekend, reaching a truce on the current trade war and agreeing to restart negotiations, has caused Gold to drop below the important $1,400 per ounce level. Gold did reach a low of $1,384 before rallying $10 per ounce.
While Gold closed above $1,400 per ounce on five trading days last week, Silver could not move back above $15.50 any day last week. Silver continues to disappoint, as the Silver-to-Gold ratio moves to an extraordinary 92.15-to-1. Silver closed Friday at $15.34 per ounce, up $0.05 for the week. If Gold moves below $1,400 this week, Silver could test the important $15 per ounce support level.
Today: Silver has moved lower with Gold this morning. Silver reached a low of $15.08 before finding buyers and short-covering. Silver is stays stuck in a $15 to $15.50 trading range until Gold breaks out.
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